GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

New Mexico United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

El Paso Locomotive are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New Mexico United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and New Mexico United hold a 47.8-point power-rating edge (17.1 v 65.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while New Mexico United holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

New Mexico United

Probability

77.6%

Model confidence

9.2%

New Mexico United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El Paso LocomotiveLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
New Mexico UnitedWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
El Paso LocomotiveNew Mexico United
22.2Attack79.2
0.0Defence50.0
16.7Form62.5
17.1Power65.0
1.14xG3.51
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