El Paso Locomotivevs
Monterey Bay
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
El Paso Locomotive are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and el Paso Locomotive hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely result in the USL Championship, favouring El Paso Locomotive with 11.6% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
11.6%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20