El Paso Locomotivevs
Lexington
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 5/31/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Lexington are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.7% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lexington
Probability
34.7%
Model confidence
34.7%
Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60