El Paso Locomotivevs
FC Tulsa
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Paso Locomotive are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Tulsa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tulsa hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20