GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 3/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

El Paso Locomotive are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Colorado Springs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.0 against 51.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

El Paso Locomotive

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

12.7%

El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El Paso LocomotiveWLLLD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado SpringsWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
El Paso LocomotiveColorado Springs
50.9Attack51.9
52.6Defence51.9
49.1Form46.3
52.0Power51.7
1.58xG1.34
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