GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 3/21/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ind. Juniors · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

El Nacional are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Ind. Juniors are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ind. Juniors hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.8% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while Ind. Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ind. Juniors

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

55.8%

Ind. Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El NacionalLWLLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Ind. JuniorsWDWLL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
El NacionalInd. Juniors
22.2Attack41.7
50.8Defence78.3
17.5Form61.7
33.0Power62.4
0.32xG1.23
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