GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 8/13/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Antonio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

El Nacional are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while San Antonio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.1% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while San Antonio holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Antonio

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

21.1%

San Antonio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El NacionalWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
San AntonioWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
El NacionalSan Antonio
23.3Attack38.3
50.0Defence65.0
18.3Form45.0
33.3Power50.9
0.50xG1.11
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