El Nacionalvs
Gualaceo SC
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 7/24/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Nacional are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gualaceo SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gualaceo SC hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
49.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60