GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 4/30/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cuniburo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

El Nacional are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cuniburo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Cuniburo hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 54.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while Cuniburo holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cuniburo

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

Cuniburo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El NacionalLWDDL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
CuniburoWWDLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
El NacionalCuniburo
22.2Attack39.7
50.8Defence73.0
17.5Form47.6
33.0Power54.3
0.38xG1.14
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