GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 4/17/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

El Nacional are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Atletico FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico FC hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (33.0 v 58.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.2% in the Liga Pro Serie B, while Atletico FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico FC

Probability

50.2%

Model confidence

50.2%

Atletico FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El NacionalDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico FCLWWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
El NacionalAtletico FC
22.2Attack36.7
50.8Defence76.7
17.5Form56.7
33.0Power58.5
0.33xG1.07
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