El Nacionalvs
9 de Octubre
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 8/6/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Nacional are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while 9 de Octubre are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and 9 de Octubre hold a 26.6-point power-rating edge (33.3 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Liga Pro Serie B, favouring a draw with 27.6% confidence, a 18% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
27.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.40/0.20