Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Ekranas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Minija are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 82.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
88.0%
Model confidence
15.0%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40