Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
BFA · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ekranas are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while BFA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and BFA hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (31.5 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the 1 Lyga, while BFA holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
BFA
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
11.4%
BFA has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40