GGOALVIO

Lithuania · 1 Lyga · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Žalgiris II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Ekranas are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Žalgiris II hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (29.1 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.4% in the 1 Lyga, while Žalgiris II holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Žalgiris II

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

62.4%

Žalgiris II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EkranasLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Žalgiris IIWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
EkranasŽalgiris II
31.7Attack51.7
30.0Defence53.3
18.3Form51.7
29.1Power53.2
0.89xG2.15
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