GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ekibastuz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ekibastuz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Yelimay Semey 2 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekibastuz hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the 1. Division, while Ekibastuz holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ekibastuz

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Ekibastuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EkibastuzLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Yelimay Semey 2LWWLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EkibastuzYelimay Semey 2
44.4Attack25.9
42.6Defence40.7
48.1Form22.2
47.0Power32.8
1.82xG0.89
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