GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/16/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3

Highconfidence

Ekibastuz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.9% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

79.9%

Model confidence

79.9%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EkibastuzLWDDD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Shakhter KaragandyWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
EkibastuzShakhter Karagandy
44.4Attack94.4
42.6Defence87.0
48.1Form90.7
47.0Power87.7
0.76xG3.14
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