Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jaiyq · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ekibastuz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Jaiyq are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Jaiyq hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (44.6 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the 1. Division, while Jaiyq holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Jaiyq
Probability
35.7%
Model confidence
14.8%
Jaiyq has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60