Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ekibastuz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ekibastuz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Astana II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.0 against 48.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the 1. Division, while Ekibastuz holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ekibastuz
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Ekibastuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80