Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ekibastuz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ekibastuz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Arys are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekibastuz hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 32.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.0% in the 1. Division, while Ekibastuz holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ekibastuz
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Ekibastuz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20