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Ekhaya logoEkhayavsRed Lions logoRed Lions

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Malawi · Super League · 5/2/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ekhaya are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Red Lions are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.7 against 51.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EkhayaLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Red LionsDDWWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
EkhayaRed Lions
33.3Attack28.2
71.8Defence71.8
43.6Form48.7
50.7Power51.6
0.60xG0.44
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