GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 5/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ekhaya are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekhaya hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EkhayaLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Moyale BarracksWLDDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
EkhayaMoyale Barracks
33.3Attack30.8
71.8Defence64.1
43.6Form43.6
50.7Power48.6
0.78xG0.47
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