Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ekhaya are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while MAFCO are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ekhaya hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (50.7 v 43.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40