Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eidsvold · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Eidsvold are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kjelsås are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and eidsvold hold a 5.9-point power-rating edge (74.4 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the 2. Division - Group 2, favouring Eidsvold with 9.7% confidence, a 66% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eidsvold
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
9.7%
Eidsvold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40