Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Eibar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tenerife are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Eibar hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Segunda División, while Eibar holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Eibar
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
18.6%
Eibar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80