GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 7/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Egnatia Rrogozhinë · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Celje are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Egnatia Rrogozhinë hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the UEFA Champions League, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Egnatia RrogozhinëWDWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CeljeDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Egnatia RrogozhinëCelje
91.7Attack58.3
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form41.7
61.1Power51.6
2.08xG1.43
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