Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Egersund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Stabaek are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
8.9%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 19 · GA 5 · avg 3.80/1.00