Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Egersund are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Raufoss are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.7% in the 1. Division, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
73.7%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40