Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Egersund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Egersund are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Moss are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Egersund hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the 1. Division, while Egersund holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Egersund
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Egersund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80