Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Egersund are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Haugesund are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 85% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20