Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Echallens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Echallens are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Bavois are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bavois hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Echallens holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Echallens
Probability
36.4%
Model confidence
36.4%
Echallens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 17 · avg 1.80/3.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40