GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

São José EC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

EC São Bernardo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while São José EC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and São José EC hold a 35.1-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 68.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 21.5% in the Copa Paulista, while São José EC holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

São José EC

Probability

71.3%

Model confidence

21.5%

São José EC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

EC São BernardoWLWDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
São José ECWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
EC São BernardoSão José EC
20.0Attack56.3
50.0Defence75.0
20.0Form70.8
33.2Power68.4
0.33xG1.73
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