GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ebbsfleet United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ebbsfleet United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Folkestone Invicta are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Folkestone Invicta hold a 31.4-point power-rating edge (57.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the National League - South, while Ebbsfleet United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ebbsfleet United

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

13.5%

Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ebbsfleet UnitedLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Folkestone InvictaWWDDW

GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Ebbsfleet UnitedFolkestone Invicta
52.9Attack100.0
60.9Defence66.7
55.8Form100.0
57.3Power88.7
1.46xG1.22
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