Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gateshead · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Eastleigh are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Gateshead are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gateshead hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (45.9 v 56.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the National League, while Gateshead holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gateshead
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Gateshead has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20