GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 6/5/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Moreton City Excelsior · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Eastern Suburbs are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Moreton City Excelsior are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Moreton City Excelsior hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 59.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Queensland NPL, while Moreton City Excelsior holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Moreton City Excelsior

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Moreton City Excelsior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern SuburbsWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Moreton City ExcelsiorLWLWW

GF 16 · GA 11 · avg 3.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Eastern SuburbsMoreton City Excelsior
51.5Attack77.3
47.0Defence47.0
43.9Form59.1
47.9Power59.9
1.73xG2.38
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