GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 7/18/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern Suburbs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Eastern Suburbs are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Magic United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Suburbs hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.2% in the Queensland NPL, while Eastern Suburbs holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern Suburbs

Probability

65.2%

Model confidence

65.2%

Eastern Suburbs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern SuburbsLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Magic UnitedLWLLW

GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Eastern SuburbsMagic United
51.5Attack50.0
47.0Defence10.6
43.9Form33.3
47.9Power33.3
3.06xG1.43
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