Eastern Suburbsvs
Lions
COMPLETEDAustralia · Queensland NPL · 3/14/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lions · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Eastern Suburbs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lions are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Lions hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.8% in the Queensland NPL, while Lions holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lions
Probability
69.8%
Model confidence
69.8%
Lions has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20