GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 5/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern Suburbs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Eastern Suburbs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Gold Coast United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Suburbs hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 38.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Queensland NPL, while Eastern Suburbs holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern Suburbs

Probability

57.0%

Model confidence

10.7%

Eastern Suburbs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern SuburbsWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Gold Coast UnitedLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Eastern SuburbsGold Coast United
51.5Attack39.4
47.0Defence40.9
43.9Form30.3
47.9Power38.4
2.06xG1.14
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