GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland NPL · 3/1/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eastern Suburbs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Eastern Suburbs are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Brisbane Roar II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eastern Suburbs hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.5% in the Queensland NPL, while Eastern Suburbs holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eastern Suburbs

Probability

62.5%

Model confidence

62.5%

Eastern Suburbs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern SuburbsLLWWW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brisbane Roar IILLLDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Eastern SuburbsBrisbane Roar II
51.5Attack48.5
47.0Defence21.2
43.9Form24.2
47.9Power33.1
2.79xG1.38
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