GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria Premier League 2 · 3/20/2026, 8:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Malvern · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Eastern Lions are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Malvern are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Malvern hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 72.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.8% in the Victoria Premier League 2, while Malvern holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Malvern

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

63.8%

Malvern has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Eastern LionsLWLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MalvernLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Eastern LionsMalvern
51.4Attack84.7
47.2Defence59.7
36.1Form73.6
45.4Power72.0
1.24xG2.69
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