GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/1/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

East Kilbride · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

East Kilbride are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Queen of the South are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and East Kilbride hold a 63.2-point power-rating edge (74.3 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the League One, while East Kilbride holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

East Kilbride

Probability

64.6%

Model confidence

10.8%

East Kilbride has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

East KilbrideLWLWD

GF 17 · GA 14 · avg 3.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Queen of the SouthLLWDL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
East KilbrideQueen of the South
100.0Attack16.7
66.7Defence0.0
66.7Form0.0
74.3Power11.2
2.21xG0.93
View match centre →