East KilbridevsKilmarnock II

East Kilbride are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Kilmarnock II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and East Kilbride hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (70.4 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.7% in the Challenge Cup, while East Kilbride holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.