East KilbridevsDunfermline

East Kilbride are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dunfermline are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dunfermline hold a 6.1-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 61.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the League Cup, while Dunfermline holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.