East KilbridevsDumbarton

East Kilbride are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dumbarton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and East Kilbride hold a 27.6-point power-rating edge (55.6 v 27.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.2% in the League Cup, while East Kilbride holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.