Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Fife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
East Fife are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Spartans are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and East Fife hold a 52.1-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Challenge Cup, while East Fife holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
East Fife
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
10.2%
East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20