Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
East Fife · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
East Fife are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Morton are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and East Fife hold a 49.2-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 18.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the League Cup, while East Fife holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
East Fife
Probability
56.3%
Model confidence
56.3%
East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20