GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Rio · 6/17/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Olaria · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Duque de Caxias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Olaria are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Olaria hold a 57.8-point power-rating edge (8.0 v 65.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Copa Rio, while Olaria holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Olaria

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Olaria has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Duque de CaxiasLWWDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
OlariaLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Duque de CaxiasOlaria
0.0Attack50.0
0.0Defence88.9
0.0Form61.1
8.0Power65.8
0.65xG1.41
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