GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dunkerque · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Dunkerque are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Valenciennes are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dunkerque hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Dunkerque holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dunkerque

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Dunkerque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DunkerqueLLWLL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ValenciennesDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DunkerqueValenciennes
72.2Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form53.3
57.4Power54.1
2.57xG1.72
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