Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Dunkerque are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Grenoble are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Grenoble hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00