GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dunfermline · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Dunfermline are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Ross County are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ross County hold an 11.0-point power-rating edge (71.6 v 82.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the League Cup, while Dunfermline holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dunfermline

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

11.2%

Dunfermline has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DunfermlineDDWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ross CountyWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DunfermlineRoss County
83.3Attack91.7
66.7Defence75.0
75.0Form83.3
71.6Power82.6
1.69xG1.61
View match centre →