Dunfermlinevs
Dumbarton
COMPLETEDScotland · League Cup · 7/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dunfermline · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Dunfermline are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dumbarton are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Dunfermline hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (61.7 v 27.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the League Cup, while Dunfermline holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Dunfermline
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
Dunfermline has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 17 · avg 0.60/3.40